Binance Wallet integrates prediction markets via Predict.Fun
Binance has officially integrated a prediction market feature into its wallet application, partnering with decentralized protocol Predict.Fun as the primary service provider. The feature allows users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events spanning sports, economics, global affairs, cultural moments, and cryptocurrency price movements directly within the Binance app .
The prediction market operates through a simple binary format: each event is represented by “Yes” or “No” shares, with prices fluctuating between $0.01 and $0.99 based on market demand. When an event resolves, correctly predicted shares pay out $1 each. All transactions are conducted in USDT, with users able to place both market and limit orders .
To access the new feature, users must update their Binance App to iOS version 3.11.1 or Android version 3.11.2 or later. The prediction market can be found at the top of the Markets page within the Exchange view. A dedicated prediction account is required—this account is separate from spot trading accounts and utilizes Binance Wallet’s keyless technology, ensuring a distinct operational layer .
Binance emphasizes that it does not directly manage market events nor act as a counterparty in these trades. Instead, the platform aggregates prediction market services from third-party providers, with Predict.Fun serving as the initial and primary partner. Predict.Fun operates on the BNB Smart Chain and has been gaining momentum since its launch in December 2025, backed by YZi Labs (formerly Binance Labs) .
The integration positions Binance among a growing list of major exchanges entering the prediction market sector. Coinbase expanded its prediction market offerings in January through a partnership with Kalshi, while Crypto.com launched its standalone platform OG in February . The sector has seen explosive growth, with monthly trading volume surpassing $20 billion—up from just $1.2 billion in early 2025. In March alone, Kalshi recorded approximately $10.98 billion in volume, while Polymarket reached $10.04 billion .
Predict.Fun has demonstrated strong traction since its December 2025 launch. The protocol has accumulated over $17 billion in total trading volume, attracted more than 125,000 users, and processed over 3.7 million transactions. Its total value locked (TVL) stands at approximately $14.92 million, making it the second-largest prediction market protocol by TVL .
Market anticipation for Predict.Fun’s upcoming token generation event (TGE) has intensified following the Binance integration news. According to Polymarket data, the probability that Predict.Fun’s fully diluted valuation (FDV) exceeds $200 million on its first day of trading has surged to 63%. Higher valuation thresholds show similarly elevated expectations: FDV exceeding $100 million is now priced at 96% probability, while $200 million stands at 64% and $300 million at 50% .
Users should note that the prediction market feature may not be available in certain countries or regions due to local regulatory restrictions. Binance has indicated that the feature is currently in beta testing, with broader rollout planned pending initial feedback .
The move comes as prediction markets face increasing regulatory scrutiny. In March, U.S. senators introduced the “Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act,” seeking to restrict contracts tied to sports or casino-style games. Major platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have since implemented enhanced screening tools and expanded restrictions on market abuse .
